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Yep you got it! Typos, but you should be able to make it out! ;)

Miami @ New England -13 & 34.5

How can you back the Dolphins right now? It's not easy, but 13 is a heck of a lot for an NFL game. Lets see if I can find any good points here. Look for Miami to run four WR sets to help with protection, and also give Fielder some hot reads when the Pats blitz. Could lead to a couple of quick scores. The Miami defense is a bit banged up on the interior, and NE has it's best chance at winning by running the ball this week. This will keep the clock ticking, and maybe a closer score. Also the Pats WR's of Brown, Johnson, and Branch may miss this game. Once again more focus on the run. I'll take the points. Dolphins +13.

Cleveland @ Pittsburgh -6 & 37

Cleveland’s biggest weakness is against the pass. However the Rookies Ben makes just his third start, and I've got to wonder how well he'll attack the Browns in the air. The Browns have been having troubles scoring early in games. They get Suggs back at 100% this week, and Pittsburgh is without run stopper Bell. Look for Cleveland to run first with success, and then open up the passing game a bit with those speedy wideouts they have. The edge does go to the Browns here as DB for Pittsburgh has trouble with speedy wideouts. The run will suck the safety in more, and thus the window of opportunity. Steelers stick more to the run than they need to here. Browns +6.

Oakland @ Indianapolis -9.5 & 52

The Raiders and Collins should have success throwing the ball around this weekend. The Colts are giving up 68% passing, and Collins looks pretty good back there especially on seven step drops. Houston had some success blitzing LW and expect it some from the Colts. TW however Oakland should be ready for it, and better execution is expected. The raiders defense will need to be at their best this week against Manning & Co. The raiders CB's are probably physical enough to muscle the Colts WR"s. Thus possibly throwing that rhythm and timing Manning is known for. The Front seven for Oakland must also keep an eye on RB James as he is having a solid year. All and all though Oakland has enough weapons on offense to keep this one close for the cover. Raiders +9.5

Detroit @ Atlanta -6.5 & 41

Atlanta comes in the talk of the town with their defense, but this week Detroit may have an edge here. The Falcons secondary has been hit hard with injuries, and the WR tandem of Williams, and Hakim. Harrington has a good chance at having a big game. The Detroit defense will probably use the same tactic Arizona and Carolina did LW to frustrate Vick. That was to bring in a 5th D-Lineman on obvious passing downs to help spy Vick. As long as they stay consistent in doing this Detroit should stay close here. Lions +6.5.

Tampa Bay @ New Orleans -3 & 36

Sims makes his first NFL start Sunday, and it's not often a wise choice to back such a situation. Expect the saints to show a lot of blitz packages today to put added pressure on him. The Saints offensively will be without RB McAllister, and will also have troubles moving the ball against the Cover which TB brings in. It's also the same defense Arizona uses which beat the Saints LW 34-10. Simms may be the spark this Bucs team needs to get things going a little better this season. It's a tough road start, but I'll back him this week. Buccaneers +3.

NY Giants @ Dallas -3.5 & 37.5

The CB's for Dallas are out with injuries, and it keeps Dallas from being as tough to deal with as they were last year. As it puts more pressure on the front seven, because the safeties can't cheat up to help with the run. That causes the line to wear down a little quicker because of it's size. New York has things going in the right direction, and has a hot RB in barber. The WR's may even be able to free themselves up to open the run game up even more with the injuries to the CB's. Dallas has continued to throw the ball effectively this year even without much of a rush attack to begin with. The Giants front seven have done well against the rush this year, and should get a lot of pressure on Vinny as well. The lack of a running attack combined with the Giants D-Line will make the Cowboys more predictable and to much pressure for the passing to be successful. Giants +3.

Minnesota -4 & 49.5 @ Houston

The Vikings have the weapons at WR to take advantage of a Houston defense allowing 65% passing rate this year. Even the young Minnesota RB's may have success this week with Houston allowing 4.8 YPC. If Minnesota gets up big early it will cause the Texans to abandon their running game. The Vikes have yet to get an interception this year, but QB Carr has made a few mistakes this year throwing into coverage. It should open the door for a few needed big defensive plays by the Vikes. Vikings -4.

Buffalo @ NY Jets -7 & 37.5

The Bills defense may actually have an answer to stop Martin, because they're allowing just 85 yds./game at 3.4 ypc. The Bills have a WR that is seedy enough to take advantage of the Jets secondary. If Bledsoe can be a little more accurate this week he should have some good numbers. The Bills have melted down late in their three games this year with penalties and turnovers. If they can come without such mistakes expect them to be there at the end of this one. Bills +7.

Jacksonville -2.5 & 36.5 @ San Diego

Brees needs a good early start here to help open the running lanes for Tomlinson to be successful Sunday. The Jags defense is solid, but SD is confident coming in plus they're at home. Charger WR Gates has the size advantage to make some plays for SD. So the ladder can be expected. and if that running game gets going then look out for the Chargers. The young SD defense will have to play smart to cover Jags RB Taylor, and rookie WR Wilford who is big and faster than you'd think. They have speed and talent to do so, but again their raw and that leaves the potability for some big plays. That said though I feel the Bolts momentum of LW's big win over Tennessee combined with Jacksonville's first loss is enough to back the Bolts here. Chargers +2.5.

Carolina @ Denver -5.5 & 38

The Panthers get back RB Davis this week, and his leadership may be what this team needs to bounce back off of LW"s loss to Atlanta. The O-line for Carolina will need to open some holes for the running game to be successful as Denver has the edge in the battle between their secondary and Carolina's WR's. Denver is limbo offensively as RB Griffin is hobbled with injury. Thus the Panthers can focus more on Plummer and the passing attack. I expect Carolina to play much better defensively this week and keep this game close. Panthers +5.5.

St Louis @ Seattle -7 & 43.5

The Rams have the RB talent here to take advantage of the lack of speed at the LB position of the Seahawks. Also O-linemen Pace knows Seattle's Winstrom well lining up against him in practice, and should shut Grant down here. That opens the Rams potential up a little more, and Martz is a creative coach that will look to take advantage of these mismatches. Seattle is a good team, and I think they'll win the NFC this week however they get a stiff challenge, and the seven is too inviting. Rams +7.

Arizona @ San Francisco -1 & 36.5

The Cards come in off a big win over NO, and Green may have something going in Arizona with the tough momentum building loss at Atlanta to lead to the win LW. San Frans confidence is probably a little low after the beating they've take the last two games against Seattle and last Sunday night against the Rams. McCown will look to be successful on first downs to help open the rushing game up. The young QB has had good results passing, but tends to hold on to the ball to long thus giving up sacks and turnovers. The cover two that Arizona runs will confuse the young SF QB Rattay, and the Cardinals momentum on the field will lead to an Arizona win Sunday. Cardinals +1.

Baltimore @ Washington -1 & 34

Baltimore finally broke 20 points LW, but that was result of a trick play along with a kick return for a TD. So don't get too excited Ravens fans. Washington has the defense to really hamper the Ravens scoring attempts. The Skins running game and time management must get better this week to win this game. Gibbs is well known for making adjustments to fit his needs quickly, and expect to see a better Washington team this week compared to what we've seen the last two weeks. Skins -1

Tennessee @ Green Bay -3

GB is in dire needs, and believe it or not Tennessee may just be what the doctor ordered. The Titans have obvious problems at 1-3. Tennessee is allowing 6 YPP, and RB Green along with Favre should have a nice game here. the packers defense isn’t nothing to write home about as they too have allowed 6 YPP this year. However the Titans injury problems on offense should help the Pack in that category. Something tells me GB will look a lot like they did in the Week 1 MNF game against Carolina. Packers -3.

 

Chomping at the bits
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Really good analysis IMHO, and almost all of the picks agree w/ my spreadsheet picks. Exceptions: I'm teasing Houston at home and only playing the over in the Giants game, as both teams should have their best success through the air. The Cowboys have been a thorn in my side this year, covering games in the scoring department only, unfortunately, and this week my spreadsheet actually likes them, in spite of the injuries. Last week the Giants as a road dog was my spreadsheet's number one pick, so I'll be watching this week's game with much interest.

Good luck! :howdy:
 

New member
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like the san diego pick.

don't like tampa bay pick; proceed w/caution.

overall terrific write-ups.
 

Banned
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Nice write ups, I liked the first 6 games and have all of them projected the same as your analysis
 

New member
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Thanks and good luck to us all.

Going with these as top plays from the list above:

Oakland, Detroit, Buffalo, San Diego, and St Louis.
 

mhk

"I can't be faded", Dr. Dre
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I like someone thats makes a case for all those dogs.. Too easy to ride the chalk in a write up..
 

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